Russian Platinum Group Metals Market Will Benefit from Stricter Environmental Regulations, Frost & Sullivan Predicts
Regulations are set to stimulate sustainable new technologies such as catalytic converters and fuel cells
New analysis from Frost & Sullivan, Analysis of the Russian Platinum Group Metals Market, finds that the Russian PGM market produced 3.5 million ounces in 2010 and estimates this to reach 4.3 million ounces in 2015. The research covers platinum and palladium.
“The increased usage of PGM in a range of industrial applications, as well as the growing popularity of PGM as hedge assets during times of volatile currencies and insecure equity markets, is driving the market,” notes Frost & Sullivan Research Analyst Monika Nowotnik. “The Russian market is following these global trends, and domestic consumption is anticipated to rise, especially in the automotive, jewellery, chemical and electronics industries.”
The Russian PGM market is mature, with compound annual growth rate (CAGR) unlikely to reach higher than 3.8% between 2010 and 2015. Nevertheless, the market is set to grow steadily over the long-term. This will be due to the entrance of new, small competitors, such as CJSC Fedorovo Resources, which is currently awaiting governmental permission for extraction and is likely to start production in 2013-2015.
Geological exploration in Russia has become more intensive in recent years. However, the depletion of resources is progressing along with the devastation of the natural environment in mining areas, especially in the Norilsk-Talanakh region. Almost 95.2% of Russian reserves are concentrated in the Norilsk-Talanakh region, controlled by the largest PGM producer – OJSC MMC Norilsk Nickel.
“Stricter environmental regulations are likely to hamper the rapid development of mining areas,” remarks Nowotnik. “On the other hand, these regulations can enhance the development of modern technologies, such as catalytic converters and fuel cells. These technologies can leverage the catalytic properties and resistance of platinum and palladium to decrease emissions of noxious gases and increase the durability of various goods.”
Russian regulations follow European trends and have, accordingly, become stricter in terms of environmental protection and limitation of noxious gases emissions. In 2012, Russia is expected to adopt Euro - 4. The last step will be the adoption of Euro - 5 over 2014-16.
“These changes are a strong incentive to increase PGM consumption in Russia,” concludes Nowotnik. “International companies are already investing in autocatalyst production in Russia, as the Russian market has become increasingly popular among car assemblers and manufacturers due to the large domestic market and relatively low costs of production.”
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